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2024-12-13 11:59:07

BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Onshore RMB against the US dollar (CNY) closed at 7.2700 yuan at 03:00 Beijing time, down 85 points from Wednesday night's close. The turnover was $42.042 billion.Expert comment: Grasp the core essence of "stabilizing the property market" and explain in detail the main starting points of real estate in the new stage. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, believes that "stabilizing the property market" should have a systematic and complete working path, including stabilizing housing consumption, stabilizing enterprise investment, promoting stock digestion, etc., and ultimately creating more power for the release of domestic demand. (Xinhua News Agency)


Daiwa Securities SMBC Co., Ltd. downgraded Xinao Energy to Hold with a target price of HK$ 56.The Dow Jones Industrial Average is now at 43,983.32 points, down 165.24 points.Market information: Turkey appointed a chargé d 'affaires for its embassy in Damascus, which was closed during the Syrian civil war.


Fitch: The global protein market is neutral in 2025, which reflects that global consumption remains stable as consumer demand shifts to lower-priced chicken and pork. It is predicted that the stable grain cost will support the processing profit and benefit the global protein companies in 2025.Expert comment: Grasp the core essence of "stabilizing the property market" and explain in detail the main starting points of real estate in the new stage. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, believes that "stabilizing the property market" should have a systematic and complete working path, including stabilizing housing consumption, stabilizing enterprise investment, promoting stock digestion, etc., and ultimately creating more power for the release of domestic demand. (Xinhua News Agency)Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian and part-time researcher of Finance Research Institute of Fudan University, said: "Let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve", and moderately loose monetary policy will intensify countercyclical adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 was "moderately loose", which was not only based on the analysis of the current economic situation, but also fully considered external uncertainties, and combined with the planning of economic work next year.

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